Ecuador’s agricultural sector enters 2026 confronting simultaneous pressures from climate variability, rising production costs, and increasingly stringent sustainability requirements from key export markets. The sector accounts for 8-10% of GDP but supports over 25% of the rural economically active population, with vulnerabilities concentrated among small and medium producers unable to absorb cost increases from climate adaptation measures. The World Bank projects GDP per capita could decline four percentage points by 2050 without climate adaptation investments, with agricultural production particularly exposed to flood damage affecting banana, rice, maize and cacao cultivation.